Tuesday, June 4, 2019

The Importance Of Record Management

The Importance Of Record ManagementA record is a transaction between individuals or institutions that is first documented and then stored on a specific repository for a given, or in some racing shells an unspecified amount of time. Records vary in their contexts they can buoy range from court records to state information that a country holds about its citizens i.e. birth and death certificates. Records in the present-day(prenominal) day and age ar usually stored electronically on databases. Records provide an arranging or government institutions with the necessary proof of the interaction with its partners, in the case of physical compositions, or citizens in the case of the state.Why is records perplexity important and who is responsible for managing records in an organization?Records management is important because it essentially provides an organization or whatsoever other entity with of proof of the transaction that they contrive entered into with another party. It is a lso important in the decision making or strategic part of an organization. Kept records retard data anomalies or inconsistencies, this is key on the part of those making decision for the company, if a department within an organization has managed to keep good track of what they have done or have not done it becomes easier for them to make decisions based on those records.Everybody in the organization is partially responsible for managing records in the organization. Employees have a responsibility to make sure that all their transactions with external parties related to the organization be kept recorded and stored electronically. However, the records manager or information incumbent is tasked with managing the records for the whole organization together with his/her team. The records manager is also responsible for drawing up policies that articulate the aims of his/her department to the rest of the organization. This is to make sure that everyone within the organization knows h ow to handle information and is also knowledgeable on the legal and corporate standards associated with records management.Outline an electronic records management cycle.I have identified four phases to the records management life cycle, with the understanding that there possibly could be more that can be identified or less.The first being Creation. This entails the part of the cycle when records are being created or being received.The second part is Active Records these are records that are needed frequently. They are find oneselfd at least one per or calendar month or as frequently as weekly, so these types of records are stored on readily accessible databases.The third part is Semi-Active/Inactive Records Semi active records are not needed for day-to-day business. Organizations need to keep them for referrals for legal reasons, of for financial reasons. They are not used often enough to warrant or disembarrass their being stored in primary record centres. Semi-active records a re often stored at a lower cost in a records centre.The fourth part being Final disposition The final disposition is the action that takes place when records have no more value to an organization. This phase can include physical end of the records of transfer of the records to the custody of an external body.What do you see as user interactions with the records?The user of the records is in the first place a part of the creation performance of a particular record. Their input to the process is the relationship they have with the organization. The degree to which they interact with the records depends on the context and meaning of the relationship to an organization. Users of course could range from customers to employees. Employees interaction with record should include them maintaining the records that they have created and updating them if necessary. A customer to an organization interacts with his/her record when they need to consult the business about the transaction they had w ith that particular business.What is an ERDMS and what are the benefits you see ERDMS bringing to your organization?An ERDMS is an Electronic Records and Documents Management System that is used for managing and storing records digitally. It is used to effectively manage paper and electronic records and documents.The benefits of such a frame can in ones view be separated from individual to organization. For the individual it can mean a quicker and more satisfied discovery and access to information. An improved administrative efficiency and effectiveness. It could also mean the facilitation of evidence based information decision making.For the organization it could translate into secure and positive management of unstructured data such as emails, documents and spreadsheets. And also efficiency gains with improved quality and consistency of organizational processes.Another benefit that one sees for the organization making use of this system is that there can be an enhancement of a recordkeeping culture in other words this best practice can be institutionalized to the whole of the organization. There can also be a reduction in records lost, and reduction in legal li faculty to exposure. An ability to integrate core business applications with core business applications with the ERDMS can enable improved records capture through automation.List the ERDMS functionalities and briefly describe each functionality indicating its immensity?Functionality (a) What is stored?On these systems electronic files such as word processing documents, spreadsheets, multimedia materials etc are stored.Functionality (b) What end users can do?End users can create hot documents which may or may not be records. They can also save files with limited metadata related to business functions.Functionality (c) Access and useUsers can retrieve stored files. They can also receive action files accordance with workflow processes and also edit files and select whether to save as a new version o r ne w documentFunctionality (d) Disposal.The users of the files can delete them when they do not serve any corporate or legal purpose their department or the whole organization.

Monday, June 3, 2019

Vidal Business Strategy Overconfidence

Vidal Business Strategy certitudeIntroductionDuring the annual ancestry plan meeting regarding the shower gel brand Vidal, it was decided for 2017 to decline the 1+1 promo quantities in an effort to achieve better profitability versus extreme year. From the arguments that were presented, i believe that the team has over shelterd the probability for the latter scenario to happen, since the decision might has been impacted by cocksureness. The aim of this report is a) to present arguments that justify the latter, b) to detect the tooth root of this bias and c) to recommend de-bias techniques that willing be turn out useful withal for the future.The eccentricVidal, in a short period of time became the 3rd instrumentalist into the segment, with a continuous growth. Last year it gained +3.5 points in terms of market sh are and a +30% increase in value sales. Managers pointed that the key drivers of victor were a) the great value for money product b) the highest rate of 1+1 promo intensity c) the investment on distri furtherion and traditional advertising.The team concluded that the intent to penetrate the market was completed and there is an opportunity to achieve better profitability and ROI at the end of 2017. This could happen by a 20-25% reduction in 1+1 promo quantities. Following this strategy, managers estimated that they flowerpot retain at least last years value sales, which in combination with the lower cost of interchange goods will improve the brands profitability. The greatest exclusivelyy that will support the latter is products excellence and consumer loyalty. More specifically, they considered that the combination of products low price (2ndlowest) and quality is so unique, that by reducing the 1+1 promo, consumers will be directed towards the regular product. Moreover, after the distribution expansion the team estimated that the products superiority versus competition will rend new consumers.I feel that twain scenarios are posi tivist and their probabilities should be reassessed for the following reasons.Initially, the findings of a qualitative research indicated that Vidal is a value for money product, but still lacks in terms of packaging. Most consumers considered the packaging as old fashioned and correlated it with Private Label. Additionally, they indicated some practical issues during the usage which are satiscircumstanceory to restrain both users experience and perceptional quality.From a quantitative perspective, it was noticed that 55% of Vidals r reddenues were generated from the 1+1 quantities whereas the regular product presented a sharp increase in 3 reveal of 5 variances, mainly because of distribution expansion and not from gaining consumers from other players.Private Labels are makeers into the segment while in 2016 presented a substantial growth. From the data report, I noticed that the gage player had around -40% lower price during some periods that are not supported from their 1+1 p romo wave. From the latter I suspect that they might invested in price reductions in regularize to constrain PLs growth since they are to a greater extent expensive.As a offspring I would like to underline thatPrivate labels are growing signifi undersurfacetly in a price sensitive segment. Maybe by reducing 1+1 quantities we might push our consumers towards them, since we are highly correlated and more expensive.Palmolive might has realized the threat of PL and might has adapted its strategy by whirl price reductions. The initiative to switch off our investment under these circumstances might also outflow consumers towards them.I think that the team has overestimated the regular products competitive good compared with competition and underestimated the vastness of 1+1 promo.I believe that the source of this bias is generated by the teams motivation to improve profits since its a key execution of instrument indicator for both the companys and managers growth. During this effor t managers knew that is not feasible to increase investment in order to boost sales and consequently they thought closely a cost reduction strategy. The initial feedback about the very good results might boosted their confidence, whereas the fact that the brand has experienced only succeederes might constrained them to consider selection scenarios.In order to improve the decision fashioning process I would like to recommend some techniques of reducing certitude. The first is related about the importance of counter-argumentation. This performer that managers when taking a decision should consider reasons why this decision might goes wrong. If the latter is difficult then they could ask from outsiders to express their opinion. For example in our case before approving the decision all the team members is recommended to list a number of reasons why the 1+1 reduction could not lead to increased profitability. In case that no one could think about any reason then, the Sales force sh ould provide some input, since they have delicate sense of the market and its dynamics.Secondly, I would indicate the importance of feedback. The company is operating since 1970 while is consisted form experienced and new members. It is a great opportunity to accomplishment the companys knowledge by creating a case-study library that will host all the companys past successes and failures. Once a year we could organize the Sarantis-Training-Academy, in which managers will be assigned with cases, and they will be asked to provide their input for each strategy by assigning probabilities about their favored hypothesis. Afterwards, they will be informed about the real outcome and managers will be aware if they are overconfident or not.Finally from now on, I recommend that the Brand manager should be accountable for every decision. After every business plan meeting he will be responsible to present the proposals on the board of directors. The fact that he will have to present the ideas to seniors and experienced members might help him to enhance both self and group-criticism and reducing overconfidence. determinationThe marketing team might has overestimated the probability of their scenario regarding the brands strategy of 2017, whereas this time has neglected also the normative approach. The excellent launch in combination with the fact that Vidal has experienced only successes might boosted the train of confidence. In order to improve the decision process this report has proposed 3 debias techniques (feedback, consider-the opposite and accountability) that according to the behavioral research seem to eliminate overconfidence.Part BIntroductionOverconfidence might be proved a deleterious element for the decision making process since it does not only evokes populate to overestimate their probabilities about the favored scenario but it also can cause catastrophic consequences. For example, in a study that examined the effect of overconfidence on newsvendors for ecasts, showed that the higher the overconfidence the faster the profit loss (Crosson and Ren, 2009), while nowadays overconfidence seems to be a key driver for many start-up failures. This report is ground on introductory studies, and aims to underline the causes that triggered overconfidence to the Vidals marketing team while in parallel is focusing to provide a series of debiasing techniques in an effort to eliminate its effect.Overconfidence and SuccessIn Vidals case I feel that the successful launch among with the wide recognition of the teams efforts, might have boosted their level of confidence. This relationship between success and overconfidence has lot of similarities with the case of Ducati.More specifically, in 2003 Ducati entered the motorcycle racing circuit MotoGP without having high expectations. During this effort, the team was focusing on data analysis and was fabrication continuous feedback from the drivers for its improvement. At the end of the first year, Duc ati surpassed every expectation and gathered the 2nd place, whereas for next year the team targeted the 1st place. This time the diverseiated point was that the team stopped looking deeply into the data and receiving feedback. They considered that now their experience was enough in order to create an even better motorbike. Once a team member indicated you look into the data to understand whats going wrong and not why you are performing well. The next year Ducati did not cover expectations and performed even worse than the previous year. (Gino and Pisano,2011). Similarly, like on Ducatis case, it is remarkable how the Vidals marketing team after its successful launch didnt look deeply into the data, since so further it was a key principle prior taking any action. Additionally, the team seemed overconfident not only about their squallions but also about the products characteristics and performance. in that respect are findings which show that success can inspire overconfidence. For example in a recent study, Hilary and Menzly (2016) found that analysts becoming overconfident when they achieve accurate forecasts as they tend to rely more on private instruction and to neglect markets reaction. As a consequence they perform less(prenominal) accurate predictions in the future. Additionally, when a trader achieves successful performance he becomes overconfident as he tends to revise his perceptional skills higher than the expected. The latter leads him not to use all-important(a) information even though he might has a good database (Gervais and Odean, 2001). Walter and Ferrier (2004) stated also that success could generate overconfidence while it makes managers intolerant on new prospects.Since, success inspires overconfidence, it is important for managers to examine and understand the causes of success (Gino and Pisano,2011).Definition and Sources of OverconfidencePlous (1993,p.217) stated that no judgement decision is more prevalent and more catastrophic than overconfidence. In order to support this rationale in his book are some examples of the negative consequences of overconfidence. sensation of them is the destruction of Pearl Harbor, since Americans considered impossible the scenario for someone to conduct a proper attack in that location. Similarly, NASA, before the explosion of the space shuttle Challenger in 1986, had estimated that the risk of failure was 1/10,000.Overconfidence might has different forms. The first is related when someone overestimating the probability of the favored outcome to occur (Griffin and Varey, 1996), while the others are related when people consider themselves to be better than others, or when someone overestimates his skills or performance (overestimation) (MooreHealy,2007). I believe that in Vidals case both types are valid. This happens because the team might overestimated the probability to retain the amount of 2016 value sales by neglecting critical information, while they have excellent percept ion about the products potential.Russo and Shoemaker (1992) stated that a major cause of overconfidence is a persons difficulty to imagine all different outcomes that an event could have (availability bias).Due to this deficiency people become overconfident regarding their predictions as they have fewer paths to consider. In Vidals case the team could not visualize different consequences of the cost reduction strategy, whereas the fact that the brand had only successes, might restricted the teams effort to recall or envision different scenarios. Another cause of overconfidence according to Russo and Shoemaker is anchoring. They stated that managers are anchored to one value or idea without making any adjustments, As a result they might generate sales forecasts before setting and adjusting their confidence rates. A prior study of Tversky and Khaleman (1974) confirmed this relationship by also stating that people tend to underestimate the risk of failure.The fact that cost reduction was the first thing that crossed the teams mind, might be due to an association based error. People are not used to think hard and usually trust the nous that comes first into their mind (Kalheman,2003). Here, the first thing that the managers noticed was that Vidal had by far the highest promo intensity, while they might recalled from their semantic memory that cost reduction is a common and direct way to improve profitability. Arkes (1991) stated that people can think reasons to support their judgments much faster than the contradictory ones. The latter in combination with the fact that supportive reasons are greatly cued can cause overconfidence.Debiasing Techniques and LimitationsLichtenstein and Fischhoff (1980), stated that people are usually overconfident, but in an experiment that they conducted they found that feedback could improve participants calibration. Calibration is the skill to assign probabilities that equals the correct estimations (Sharp et.al, 1988). Performan ce feedback is one out of four types of feedback (outcome, process, environmental, performance) that are related with judgmental predictions, and can be divided into two subtypes (scoring-rule and calibration feedback)(Benson Onkal, 1992).In 1987, Arkes conducted an experiment between 2 groups in order to detect the effect of feedback. The 2nd group was informed that will have easy interrogative moods to answer while the 1st group was told that the questions were difficult. However, in reality both questions were difficult. After the first 5 questions the second group had higher confidence but same true statement ratio with the first group. During the next sessions and after the second group received the discouraging feedback the members expressed less confidence and better accuracy.Similarly, in a recent study in which participated 57 students it was founded that performance feedback lessen overconfidence and lead to more accurate predictions (Al-Harthy 2016). Moreover, Richard s (2015), examined as well the effect of feedback. This time the sample was consisted from 171 MBA students with 5 years of working experience. The participants were asked to assess themselves in 5 areas and afterwards to participate in a 3-hour assessment regarding their skills (problem solving, decision making, leadership, teamwork and planning).After the assessment, they participated in a pedagogy course in order to understand the essentials of behavior in relevance with the above skills. In parallel, they were being involved with many tasks such as feedback and discussions with students. At the end of the semester the subjects repeated the same assessment. It was found that participants initially were overconfident in their self-assessment but after the feedback and the cooking course their overconfidence level was bring down.Russo and Shoemaker(1992) pointed out the importance of feedback in companies since its a fast and cheap way to reduce overconfidence. He proposed that, companies should provide the employees with actual past cases where the result is known and to ask them to provide their guesses combined by their confidence level. With this method that was applied also successfully in Shell in order to train its junior gemologists, the employees learn to assess their level of confidence in relevance with their job and to identify if they are overconfident or not.However, all the above do not mean that feedback is always effective. Meikle et.al (2016) stated that this method is not suitable for people who have vested post in seeing the world in a biased way. More specifically, a study in which participated football fans showed that feedback was not able to improve their accuracy on predictions since most of them still had preferences towards their favorite team (Massey et.al,2011).Additionally, the scoring-rule feedback (subtype of performance feedback) in which the forecaster gets rewards or penalties according to the outcome of his prediction do esnt show to reduce overconfidence (Fisher,1982). Finally, its important to indicate that this method is less efficient on overconfident CEOs, as they tend to show greater resistance on feedback which restricts them from improving calibration (Chen,et.al,2014).Feedback is useful for improving the decision making process since one of its characteristics is to warn that something, goes wrong or it might go wrong Thaler and Sunstein (2008). Kahneman (2003) stated that an outsiders view can provide more accurate predictions while it is less possible to provide unrealistic estimations. This happens because the outsiders view can provide safety against favored predictions that have less probabilities than the expected to happen (Kahneman Lovallo,1993). The outsiders can exploit knowledge from previous experiences by taking also into account the problems unique characteristics and data. As a result, since many people are overconfident, it is recommended for important decisions to ask eith er from an outsider to share his opinion or the decision maker to try to think like an outsider (Bazerman, 2013). This means that the decision maker should either think of reasons why his scenario might go wrong or to ask from others to provide counterarguments (Russo Shoemaker,1992). The latter might be proved helpful since considering the opposite scenario is capable to reduce the high levels of confidence (Soll et.al 2013).In a study that was conducted by Koriat et.al (1980), it was found that when subjects wrote down contradicted reasons and alternatives against their selected answer, they showed less confidence and better calibration.One way that might lead to this direction and to reduce overconfidence is accountability. The fact that the person is accountable for the decision, will lead him to enhance his pre-emptive self-criticism as he will have to present the decision and its rationale to others (Larrick, 2004).This mechanism will lead him to improve the decision quality and to assess more objectively the alternatives (Tetlock et.al, 1989). In a study that was conducted by Tetlock Kim(1987) the subjects participated in a person-perception process. The participants after receiving responses from each test taker they were asked to submit a short nature brief and to retake the test. This time they had to predict the responses of each test taker by assigning probabilities and level of confidence. It was found that subjects that they were told (before the test), that the researcher would like to have a detailed interview about their answers, to show more appropriate levels of confidence and better accuracy. Similarly in a recent study that participated 71 student students in a computer-based laboratory showed that accountability reduced significantly overconfidence (Jermias,2006).However, Brown (1999) stated that accountability might lead managers to take decisions that are most favorable to their peers, while the great amount of information could caus e the lost-pilot effect if it will not being used properly (Larrick,2004). Accountability, does not seem to improve calibration in organizations in which the answer to the question what is a good decision is maddeningly subjective (e.g advertising agencies), whereas it is more effective in preventing rather reversing judgmental biases (Tetlock Kim 1987).The positive effect of overconfidence recommendationsContrary to all the above, overconfidence does not have solely negative effects. As Goethe wroteFor a man to achieve all that is demanded of him he must regard himself as greater than he is. Bernardo and Welch (2001) stated that overconfident entrepreneurs are more likely to explore their environment and to provide additional information to their social group while overconfident managers are more willing a)to take risk decisions b)to devote more effort and c) to motivate the team to accomplish its goal (Gervais et.al,2002). Finally, Taylor and Brown (1998) indicated that overconfi dent and approbatory people are more positive, happier and they have excellent ability for caring about others.Since overconfidence has also a positive side, Russo (1992) recommends that managers should distinguish between decision making and insideng. This means that the decision process should be combined by realism and rationality, whereas the implementation of the decision should take advantage of the motivational benefits of overconfidence. As a result, its important for the decision makers to realize what they do know and what they dont, while the ones who are implementing the decision should indulge overconfidence when they think that will be proved beneficial for the performance.ConclusionOverconfidence when impacts the decision process could have negative consequences. However, it has some advantages that can be exploited from the ones who are implementing the decision. Since the decision process is critical, it is suggested to eliminate this effect by using three debiasi ng techniques. Performance feedback seems to improve calibration, whereas when people are thinking about why their decision might go wrong, they tend to reduce overconfidence. Finally, in special cases accountability seems to enhance self-criticism and to lead to a more rational way of thinking.References Al-Harthy, I. (2016). Prediction Accuracy The Role of Feedback in 6th Graders Recall Predictions. internationalist Education Studies, 9(3), 212. inside10.5539/ies.v9n3p212Arkes, H. (1991). Costs and benefits of judgment errors Implications for debiasing. Psychological Bulletin, 110(3), 486-498. inside10.1037//0033-2909.110.3.486Arkes, H., Christensen, C., Lai, C., Blumer, C. (1987). Two methods of reducing overconfidence. Organizational Behavior And Human Decision Processes, 39(1), 133-144. inside10.1016/0749-5978(87)90049-5Bazerman, M. (2013). Becoming a first-class noticer. How to spot and prevent ethical failures in your organization. Harvard Business Review.Bernardo, A. Wel ch, I. (2001). On the Evolution of Overconfidence and Entrepreneurs. Journal Of Economics caution Strategy, 10(3), 301-330. inside10.1162/105864001316907964Benson, P. -nkal, D. (1992). The effects of feedback and training on the performance of probability forecasters. International Journal Of Forecasting, 8(4), 559-573. doi10.1016/0169-2070(92)90066-iBrown, C. (1999). Do the Right Thing Diverging Effects of Accountability in a managerial Context. Marketing Science, 18(3), 230-246. doi10.1287/mksc.18.3.230Chen, G., Crossland, C., Luo, S. (2014). Making the same mistake all over again CEO overconfidence and corporate resistance to corrective feedback. Strategic Management Journal, 36(10), 1513-1535. doi10.1002/smj.2291Chen, G., Crossland, C., Luo, S. (2014). Making the same mistake all over again CEO overconfidence and corporate resistance to corrective feedback. Strategic Management Journal, 36(10), 1513-1535. doi10.1002/smj.2291Ferrier, W. Lyon, D. (2004). Competitive repertoi re simplicity and firm performance The moderating role of top management team heterogeneity. Managerial And Decision Economics, 25(67), 317-327. doi10.1002/mde.1193Fischer, G. (1982). Scoring-rule feedback and the overconfidence syndrome in subjective probability forecasting. Organizational Behavior And Human Performance, 29(3), 352-369. doi10.1016/0030-5073(82)90250-1Gervais, S. Odean, T. Learning To Be Overconfident. SSRN Electronic Journal. doi10.2139/ssrn.36313Gervais, S., Heaton, J., Odean, T. Overconfidence, Investment Policy, and Executive Stock Options. SSRN Electronic Journal. doi10.2139/ssrn.361200Gino, F. Pisano, G. (2011). Why Leaders Dont Learn From Success. Harvard Business Review, 1-8.Griffin, D. Varey, C. (1996). Towards a Consensus on Overconfidence. Organizational Behavior And Human Decision Processes, 65(3), 227-231. doi10.1006/obhd.1996.0023Healy, P. Moore, D. The Trouble With Overconfidence. SSRN Electronic Journal. doi10.2139/ssrn.1001821Hilary, G. Menzly , L. Does past Success Lead Analysts to Become Overconfident?. SSRN Electronic Journal. doi10.2139/ssrn.1753771Kahneman, D. (2003). Maps of Bounded Rationality Psychology for Behavioral Economics. American Economic Review, 93(5), 1449-1475. doi10.1257/000282803322655392Kahneman, D. Lovallo, D. (1993). Timid Choices and emboldened Forecasts A Cognitive Perspective on Risk Taking. Management Science, 39(1), 17-31. doi10.1287/mnsc.39.1.17Koriat, A., Lichtenstein, S., Fischhoff, B. (1980). Reasons for confidence. Journal Of Experimental Psychology Human Learning Memory, 6(2), 107-118. doi10.1037/0278-7393.6.2.107Larrick, R. (2004). Blackwell handbook of judgment and decision making. Choice Reviews Online, 42(08), 316-337. doi10.5860/choice.42-4710Lichtenstein, S. Fischhoff, B. (1980). Training for calibration. Organizational Behavior And Human Performance, 26(2), 149-171. doi10.1016/0030-5073(80)90052-5Massey, C., Simmons, J., Armor, D. Hope Over Experience Desirability and the P ersistence of Optimism. SSRN Electronic Journal. doi10.2139/ssrn.1552394Meikle, N., Tenney, E., Moore, D. (2016). Overconfidence at work Does overconfidence survive the checks and balances of organizational life?. Research In Organizational Behavior, 36, 121-134. doi10.1016/j.riob.2016.11.005Plous, S. (1993). The psychology of judgment and decision making (1st ed.). Philadelphia Temple University Press.Ren, Y., C. Croson, D., T.A. Croson, R. (2016). The overconfident newsvendor. Journal Of The Operational Research Society. doi10.1057/s41274-016-0103-5Richards, D. (1997). Developing Cross-Cultural Management Skills Experiential Learning in an International MBA Programme. Management Learning, 28(4), 387-407. doi10.1177/1350507697284001Russo, E. Shoemaker, P. (1992). Managing Overconfidence. Sloan Management Review, 1-7.Sharp, G., Cutler, B., Penrod, S. (1988). Performance feedback improves the resolution of confidence judgments. Organizational Behavior And Human Decision Processes , 42(3), 271-283. doi10.1016/0749-5978(88)90001-Soll, J., Milkman, K., Payne, J. (2015). A USERS GUIDE TO DEBIASING, 1-29.Sunstein, C. Thaler, R. (2008). Nudge improving decisions about health, wealth, and bliss (1st ed.). Clitheroe JoosrTaylor, S. Brown, J. (1988). Illusion and well-being A social psychological perspective on mental health. Psychological Bulletin, 103(2), 193-210. doi10.1037//0033-2909.103.2.193Tetlock, P. Kim, J. (1987). Accountability and judgment processes in a personality prediction task. Journal Of Personality And Social Psychology, 52(4), 700-709. doi10.1037//0022-3514.52.4.700Tetlock, P. Kim, J. (1987). Accountability and judgment processes in a personality prediction task. Journal Of Personality And Social Psychology, 52(4), 700-709. doi10.1037//0022-3514.52.4.700Tversky, A. Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under Uncertainty Heuristics and Biases. Science, 185(4157), 1124-1131. doi10.1126/science.185.4157.1124

Sunday, June 2, 2019

Casablanca :: essays research papers

Casablanca The Epstein brothers created Casablanca, a romantic adventure, like no other of its time. There are few movies that are enjoyd by men and women alike. Casablanca is one such movie. It successfully combines action, adventure, love and romance into a film loved by all.What makes this film a favorite of women? Lets take a nestled look at the film and find out. Casablanca is set in the exotic land of Morocco where refuges wait for passage to America, the Promised Land. In a popular American caf, rick, the caf owner, hides from the memories of a lost love. Rick is a mysterious, masculine hero who hides behind a hard outer shell but is really thoughtful and unpredictable. Rick briefly runs into the girl he loves, Ilsa. Ilsa Lund is a beautiful woman who is torn between two lovers. Thus begins the tender love story that women cannot turn away from.Ilsa comes into Ricks club with her husband Victor Laszlo, a Czech freedom fighter wanted by the Germans. From the beginning, wo men love Rick far more than they love Victor because of his mysterious masculinity. Victor Laszlo is a hero yet, not nearly as loveable as Rick. Rick holds the only two letters of theodolite that can guarantee Victor and Ilsas escape. We are left wondering and waiting to see if Rick will do the right thing and pose Ilsa the papers. Another important part of the movie that women love is the music. The song As Time Goes By is the song that belongs to the true lovers and is played over and over by Ricks devoted friend, Sam. Women enjoy the lasting relationship between Sam and Rick and the compassion of Sam for both Rick and Ilsa.When Rick is squeeze with the decision of what to do with the letters of transit Rick speaks with Ilsa and Ilsa asks Rick to think for both of them and make the decision. In the end, Rick sacrifices himself for the happiness of Ilsa and Victor as head as the war against Germany. He risks his own life for others even though he is quoted as saying, I stick my neck out for nobody and, Im the only cause Im interested in. This is an endearing quality. Women want to be Ilsa, and dream of loving a man like Rick. directly to try and find out why such a romantic love story is a favorite of men.

Saturday, June 1, 2019

Education in America: Separate and Unequal Essay examples -- Still Sep

The greatest country in the world even has problems evenly distributing education to its youth. The articles I have read for this unit have a common theme regarding our education system. The authors illustrate to the reader near the struggles in America concerning how we obtain and education. Oppression, politics, racism, and socioeconomic status are a few examples of what is wrong with our country and its means of delivering a fair education to all Americans. Doctor Benjamin Barbers article The Educated Student Global Citizen or Global Consumer? discusses how the checks are being attacked by advertising campaigns. Barber talks about the poor school districts being targeted by a company called Channel One. Channel One provides these less fortunate schools with computers, televisions, and other technology. In return the schools have to show the students a twelve minute video that contains three minutes of advertising. In my opinion, this means were trading out our textbooks for fa shion and material things. I do not weigh the upper class schools have to deal with the same inequalities as the lower class schools. Doctor Barbers intentions in his writings are about educating people about empowering themselves through culture and education. Doctor Barber assumes that 9/11 would empower more people and help produce a split up education system. Doctor Barber stated in the aftermath of 9/11, it was particularly those public-official-citizens. All citizens because in what they do, they are committed to the welfare of their neighbors, their children, to future generations. (Barber 420). I believe that 9/11 has had more negative effects than positive, and education has not profited from the tragedy that occurred more than ten y... ...help make up a someones ability, personality, and means rather than money. I feel the author is attempting to convey that class means everything when it comes to education. Mantsios lists several references and charts that show what t he odds would be if you were low, middle, or mellow class to attend a university and what level of education you might obtain. All of these authors have made valid points. They have all provided examples and evidence that America is still unfair, segregated, and provides unequal opportunities for education. As an American, I think we are still fighting for our freedoms and rights, such as education. ReferencesBarber, Benjamin. The Educated Student Global Citizen or Global Consumer ?. smart York, New York Longman,2007. Print.Kozol, Johnathan. Still Separate, Still Unequal. New York, New York Longman,2007. Print.

Friday, May 31, 2019

The Affects of the Human Genome Project on Society Essay -- Genetics S

The Affects of the Human Genome Project on SocietyTodays society has an always growing thirst for spangledge as we have for many hundreds of years now. Scientists work around the clock studying the affects of nearly everything they can think of to train experiments on. This quest for knowledge is the supposed start to a better life for man kind and ultimately a world without disease or hunger. The gentle genome project is one that has been going on for about 20 years. This project set out to map, down to the last detail, every part of the human deoxyribonucleic acid structure (Human). The project has recently been completed and the scientists are now starting another project with their newly found information, to cure mankind of its ailments. Although thither are many positive things that can come of this recent discovery, there are many adverse affects that society is not yet fully awake(predicate) of and as the experiments and test results come in, more and more will socie ty be blinded to the downsides of genetic research because of the glitz, glamour, and promises provided by the corporations and universities This paper will not just hone in on the recently completed human genome project but will also take a number at the many adverse affects of what is now possibly to come if the science of human perfection is to continue unchecked. The possibilities for this new science are great, but without the general everyday guiding it every step of the way, the universities and corporations will be free to do as they wish. With the power to change life on this planet as we know it, the teams of scientists may ultimately one day have the ability to control what is happening through nearly every second of our life what we eat, what we drink, what happen... ...uman Being, The Medusa and the pull together More Notes of a Biology Watcher. New York Viking Press, 1979.Thomas, in his book of short stories explores many different issues of human nature and in this book gives his viewpoint on many well known topics and some unknown yet still interesting topics alike. Although this book is somewhat dated, the articles present are still applicable to a lot of the situations we are facing in this current day and age. The author of the book is quite refreshing in the way that he is able to look at both the light and dark of a situation yet keep a positive attitude towards most of the nearing innovations in science.Reference slantHuman Genome Project Information. US Department of Energy. April 20, 2003. http//www.ornl.gov/TechResources/Human_Genome/home.htmlClinton, Bill. Whitehouse Press Conference. June 25, 2000.

Thursday, May 30, 2019

Emily Bronte and Wuthering Heights Essay -- Wuthering Heights Essays

Emily Bronte and Wuthering Heights Emily Bronte wrote only one novel in her life. Wuthering Heights written under her pen name, Ellis Bell, was published in 1847. Although, Wuthering Heights is said to be the most imaginative and poetic of all the Brontes novels, Emilys book was not as popular as her older sister, Charlottes, new release, Jane Eyre (Bronte Sisters 408). In looking at Brontes writings, the major influences were her family, her isolation growing up, and her school experiences. Charlotte, Emily, Anne, and their brother Branwell lived with their father, the Reverend Patrick Bronte, in a parsonage high above the village at Haworth in Yorkshire, England (Bronte Sisters 408). The parsonage was amongst the largest houses in Haworth, though in comparison with the homes of clergymen in more affluent areas of Britain, it would have been considered small (www.bronte.org.uk). Patrick Bronte entered the church because it was the one career that offered to lift h im out of his poor and Irish background. He was born in a cottage at Emdale, County Down, on the 17th of March in 1777. As a teacher in a boys school at Glascar, as a tutor in a private family, and as teacher in the parish school at Drumballyroney, he do the grade and got a scholarship to St. Johns College, Cambridge, in October 1802 (Scott-Kilvert 105). Years later, with the crisis provoked by the Luddite riots (1811-1812)- in which the role of the clergy in industrial districts became one of an active peacekeeping force- Patrick was among the first, and the few, to hunt down pistols in defense of his parishioners property. Over the remaining fifty years of his life, he primed his pistols daily, di... ...ters. 1982 ed. Bronte. Colliers Encyclopedia. 1996 ed. Bronte, Emily. Wuthering Heights. United States of America Barnes & Noble Inc., 2009.The Brontes. http//www.bronte.org.uk/brontes/victorian.asp. 23 Jan 2014.Bronte Sisters. The New Book of Knowledge. 2012 ed. An Emily Bronte Chronology. http//lang.nagoy-u.ac.jp/matsuoka/Bronte-Emily-chro.html. 23 Jan 2014. Emily Bronte. The McGraw-Hill Encyclopedia of World Biography. 2003 ed. Emily Jane Bronte. http//www.geocities.com/CollegePark/1380/emily.html. 23 Jan 2014.Grin, Winifred. The Bronts. British Writers, Vol. V. Ed. Ian Scott-Kilvert. New York Charles Scribners Sons, 1982. Print. History of Emilys Life. http//www.geocities.com/SoHo/Lofts/4396/history.html. 23 Jan 2014. Wuthering Heights. Cyclopedia of Literary Characters. 2008 ed.

Wednesday, May 29, 2019

A Leader: Love and Hatred, Fear and Love Essay example -- Literary Ana

Many philosophers have discussed, written, and influenced the implementation of their ideas of the perfect qualities of a leader, and the techniques that one must use to improve and perfect their leaders abilities. Majority of these philosophers conclude that a leader must demonstrate favourable traits, which impart in turn generate the public in which he is judgment over to love him. This will result in a successful leadership. These philosophies are also devised as if the real world was a perfect world. However, Niccolo Machiavelli wrote a book, named, The Prince, which introduced the realistic idea that the world is not perfect and people do bad things. Because of this, leader must act differently to take charge of the course bad behaviour of the human race (The Prince 1). In Shakespeares Julius Caesar, there are numerous leaders who apply these ideas, and many who dont. Although The Prince discusses many muddied and relentless ideas of the perfect leader, his philosophy is pr oven true by the characters from Shakespeares playwright, Julius Caesar, and the cause and effect of their actions. Brutus is a perfect example of a leader who did not keep company Machiavellis advice, and did not succeed as a leader. For instance, Brutuss main concern was pleasing the public and doing what was best for Rome. He did this by cleansing Julius Caesar (3.2.23-28). If you want to acquire a reputation for generosity, therefore, you have to be ostentatiously lavish and a prince acting in that fashion will soon devour all in all his resources, provided to be forced in the end if he wants to maintain his reputationto impose extortionate taxes. (The Prince 2). Machiavelli stated that to be generous will have damaging effects on the leader. The damaging co... ...owed Machiavellis idea and as a result, killed anyone that was a threat to him (the conspirators). Machiavelli said that this was a good technique for a leader to use, because if a man does this, then everything that could possibly put him out of leadership is out of his way, leaving his leadership roll open to only him (Fears). Killing the conspirators was a great advantage to Antony because it gave him the opportunity to become a leader in the second triumvirate. Weather the characters of Shakespeares playwright, Julius Caesar followed or did not follow Machiavellian traits, each of the previous examples prove Machiavellis philosophy in The Prince true. Even though many philosophers conclude that a leader should have all positive traits such as variantness and generosity, a leader can be cruel and feared and be a better leader than one that is kind and loved.